start here

start here

The Daily IKN email digest, get all daily posts sent to you next day (& no ads)

2/13/17

Final polling for the Ecuador presidential election

Here are the five polls announced on the last official day of polling late last, before the 10 day blackout period began. Source here.


Here's the gig: Lenin Moreno is the candidate picked by the Rafael Correa government and backed by outgoing President Correa himself. He needs either 50% +1 vote in round one (not going to happen) or 40% and the second place candidate more than 10% behind in order to win outright. That has a decent shot of happening, but as you can probably work out from that visual above it's no certainty. 

If it goes to round two all bets are off, the top two slug it out and there's a real chance the Correa party loses as the rest gang up on Moreno. Sunday is funday in Quito.